Smart Separation; the Barrier as an Instrument to a Two-State Solution (September 7th, 2007)Co-Authored with Dan Rothem Undoubtedly the barrier Israel is building along and within the West Bank saves lives [...] In many ways the route of the barrier will determine its short- and long-term benefits to the region [...] [...] With needed adjustments, Israel could build a separation barrier that serves its security interests, political interests, reduces hardships on Palestinians, and promotes – rather than obstructs – a two-state solution... |
One-Hundred Percent Land; One-Hundred Percent Peace (March 28th, 2006)Resolving the territorial dispute is the key to bring about an end to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. In this context, Israel's new government can achieve significant gains by stating its intent to resolve the borders dispute by delineating a border between itself and the Palestinian State that will be based on the June 4, 1967, line with modifications and territorial swaps equal in size. Hence, the Palestinian state will enjoy the equivalent of 100 percent of land that Israel seized in 1967... |
Opportunities Exist in Hamas Victory (February 16th, 2006)Co-Authored with Bushra M. Jawarbri The Palestinian people spoke their mind and many around the world were shocked. Now, after we have all had a chance to take a deep breath, it is time to evaluate the new reality. While the reasons for the rise to power of Hamas are complicated, one thing is clear: the Palestinians wanted an alternative to the Fattah government. There are as many opportunities as there are challenges with a Hamas-dominated Palestinian Authority... |
Israeli Elections; Trends, Predictions and Consequence (January 15th, 2006)Despite the reluctance on the part of many Middle East experts, it is possible to predict the outcome of the next Israeli elections. A careful analysis of voting patterns and trends, combined with certain considerations can help limit the possibilities into three scenarios: If Kadimah and Labor exceed 51 seats in the next Knesset, then Ehud Olmert will form a coalition that will include Kadimah, Labor and Shas. If Kadimah and Labor fail to exceed 51 seat, yet Kadimah and Likud exceed 51 seats, then Olmert will form a coalition with Kadimah, Likud and Shas. Lastly, if neither Kadimah and Labor nor Kadimah and Likud will exceed 51 seats, then Benjamin Netanyahu will form a coalition that will include Likud, Kadimah and Shas (or a right-wing block)...
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When Demography Meets Democracy (April 2005)As many Israelis know and understand, the demographic clock is ticking down fast on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Soon, there will be more non-Jews than Jews between the Mediterranean Sea and the Jordan River under Israeli control. As a direct result, the threat of a one-state solution will increase. A bi-national democratic state means the end of Israel as a Jewish state. To this end, the Gaza disengagement plan is designed to take 1.3 million Palestinians out of Israeli control and buy several more years of Jewish majority. Recent events in the Middle East present yet another ticking clock - the democratic clock...
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Recent Trends In Settlement Growth (August 2004)The growth rate of settlements in the West Bank varies rapidly from one settlement to another. While some experience extremely high growth rates, others are below average and some have even experienced negative growth rates. Mapping the growth rates of the settlements reveals an interesting 'migration' phenomenon. Simultaneously, settlements that are located far from the projected security barrier have low growth rates and even negative ones, while settlements located on the borderline of the projected route have very high growth rates. This trend nurtures the notion that the settlement movement is strategizing and concentrating power and resources in what will become the centers of resistance. This notion is reinforced by the below-average growth rates in settlements already surrounded by the barrier, and the high growth rates in the settlements located on holy sites...
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